Saturday, November 21, 2015

What Warming ??? Mind the Cooling Instead !!

I am not a scientist, so I merely note that David Evans is publishing work which he says explains the failure of the world to heat as the climate models predicted. And he says cooling is coming.
 And here's a precise from David;

Climate Scientists Misapplied Basic Physics

The basic climate model, the application of “basic physics” to climate, is why establishment climate scientists believe in the carbon dioxide theory, despite considerable contrary empirical evidence. Dating back to 1896, the model has two major architectural flaws. Fixing the model finds a much lower sensitivity to carbon dioxide—the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) overestimated future warming by a factor of five to ten. Less than 20% of the global warming of the last few decades was due to carbon dioxide.



Notch-Delay Solar Theory Predicts Cooling from 2017
Global temperatures will come off the current plateau into a sustained and significant cooling, beginning 2017 or maybe as late as 2021. The cooling will be about 0.3 °C in the 2020s, taking the planet back to the global temperature that prevailed in the 1980s. This was signaled (though not caused) by a fall in underlying solar radiation starting in 2004, one of the three largest falls since 1610 when records started. There is a delay of one sunspot cycle, currently 13 years (2004+13 = 2017).


Dr David Evans
Instrumental in building the carbon accounting system that Australia uses to estimate the carbon changes in its biosphere for the Kyoto Protocol, for the Australian Greenhouse Office. He earned six degrees related to modeling and applied mathematics over ten years, including a PhD from Stanford University. His wife’s blog at joannenova.com.au is the third biggest sceptic website in the world.
 

Climate Change Facts DROWN !

I was just thinking how I doubt journalists even register the warming scares they mindlessly repeat. Never ask themselves whether the scares are remotely credible.
 
For instance, here is what the latest ''disaster porn'' from a green group’s study claims - and note the caveat:
Carbon emissions causing 4 degrees Celsius of warming ... could lock in enough eventual sea level rise to submerge land currently home to 470 to 760 million people globally…  
The sea levels described could possibly, but with low probability, occur sooner than 200 years from now (Kopp et al. 2014), or be reached as far as 2,000 years in the future(Levermann et al. 2013).
So this could take 2000 years to manifest itself, provided the atmosphere suddenly warms by 4 degrees after essentially no warming for 18 years. This is shameful and bloody ridiculous!
But here is how news.com.au, a hotbed of alarmism in the Murdoch media reported this same survey:

''This means major cities such as London, New York, Shanghai and Sydney could end up underwater by 2100 — if we don’t change our ways.''

How could a journalist write such garbage, both inherently ludicrous and unsupported by the evidence of the very report being quoted? Even SKY NEWS got into the pushing to fear:

 ''Pacific Island nations are in grave danger of disappearing if a global pact against greenhouse gases fails.''



No, contrary to what almost every journalist on the subject claims, global warming is not drowning Pacific islands, and many of these same islanders feel the same.  From the respected Pacific Institute of Public Policy:
An increasing number of atoll studies are not supporting claims of Pacific island leaders that “islands are sinking.” Scientific studies published this year show, for example, that land area in Tuvalu’s capital atoll of Funafuti grew seven percent over the past century despite significant sea level rise. Another study reported that 23 of 27 atoll islands across Kiribati, Tuvalu and the Federated States of Micronesia either increased in area or remained stable over recent decades.
Speaking about Kiribati, Canadian climatologist Simon Donner commented in the Scientific American: ‘Right now it is clear that no one needs to immediately wall in the islands or evacuate all the inhabitants. What the people of Kiribati and other low-lying countries need instead are well-thought-out, customized adaption plans and consistent international aid — not a breathless rush for a quick fix that makes the rest of the world feel good but obliges the island residents to play the part of helpless victim.’
These same climate scientists who are conducting ongoing research in Tuvalu, Kiribati and the Marshall Islands acknowledge the documented fact of sea level rise in the Pacific, and the potential threat this poses. But they are making the point, as articulated by Donner, that ‘the politicized public discourse on climate change is less nuanced than the science of reef islands.’
A recent report carried in Geology, the publication of the Geological Society of America, says Tuvalu has experienced ‘some of the highest rates of sea level rise over the past 60 years.’ At the same time, ‘no islands have been lost, the majority have enlarged, and there has been a 7.3 percent increase in net island area over the past century.’
And while the politics of Climate Change preaches this bullshit, I hear there is a raising tide of un-believers developing around the world that can give Sceptics like me and hundreds of honest scientists hope to crush this hoax eventually and free the people of fear.